{"id":117,"date":"2026-05-13T22:24:49","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T01:24:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arg-agro.com.ar\/actualidad\/prevision-de-la-recolte-damandes-en-legere-baisse\/"},"modified":"2026-05-13T22:24:51","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T01:24:51","slug":"prevision-de-la-recolte-damandes-en-legere-baisse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arg-agro.com.ar\/actualidad\/prevision-de-la-recolte-damandes-en-legere-baisse\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e9vision de la r\u00e9colte d’amandes en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

La premi\u00e8re et unique pr\u00e9vision de r\u00e9colte d’amandes de l’USDA pour 2026 est tomb\u00e9e presque exactement en ligne avec l’estimation de Blue Diamond Growers, indiquant une r\u00e9colte californienne l\u00e9g\u00e8rement plus modeste alors que l’industrie s’adapte \u00e0 un nouveau paysage de publication des r\u00e9coltes, plus fin.<\/p>\n

Le Service national des statistiques agricoles (NASS) de l’USDA a projet\u00e9 la r\u00e9colte californienne d’amandes \u00e0 2,7 milliards de livres, en baisse de 1 % par rapport \u00e0 l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, avec un rendement inchang\u00e9 \u00e0 1 940 livres par acre, selon l’Almond Board of California. Cette pr\u00e9vision est fond\u00e9e sur une enqu\u00eate men\u00e9e aupr\u00e8s d’environ 500 producteurs du 21 avril au 6 mai.<\/p>\n

Cette estimation suit de pr\u00e8s celle de Blue Diamond, qui pr\u00e9voit 2,69 milliards de livres, dans une fourchette projet\u00e9e de 2,675 \u00e0 2,72 milliards de livres. La coop\u00e9rative bas\u00e9e \u00e0 Sacramento a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que ses perspectives s’appuient sur des observations en d\u00e9but de saison \u00e0 travers la Vall\u00e9e Centrale, des donn\u00e9es historiques et les contributions de pr\u00e8s de 3 000 membres producteurs.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Selon les producteurs sond\u00e9s, l’industrie pr\u00e9voit une r\u00e9colte l\u00e9g\u00e8rement plus faible en 2026 par rapport \u00e0 l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Clarice Turner, pr\u00e9sidente et directrice g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du Conseil des amandes (Almond Board) de Californie, dans un communiqu\u00e9. \u00ab Il s’agit d’une estimation pr\u00e9coce et nous verrons comment la r\u00e9colte \u00e9volue au cours des mois \u00e0 venir. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Cette estimation s’inscrit dans un contexte de changement majeur dans la communication des march\u00e9s d’amandes. Le Almond Board a vot\u00e9 en d\u00e9cembre pour arr\u00eater le financement du Rapport de Mesure Objectif du NASS de l’USDA, tout en poursuivant la Pr\u00e9vision subjective de mai. Le conseil a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00e0 l’\u00e9poque qu’il restait engag\u00e9 \u00e0 travailler avec l’USDA et les partenaires de l’industrie pour affiner les m\u00e9thodes d’estimation des r\u00e9coltes. L’USDA a \u00e9galement modifi\u00e9 le format des publications du NASS au niveau national, bien que le Almond Board ait indiqu\u00e9 que la m\u00e9thodologie de la pr\u00e9vision subjective demeure inchang\u00e9e et que les donn\u00e9es pour la Californie resteront disponibles via les communiqu\u00e9s nationaux et Quick Stats.<\/p>\n

Blue Diamond a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 son estimation comme une r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 ce changement, estimant qu’une fourchette fond\u00e9e sur des sc\u00e9narios pourrait aider les producteurs, les manipulateurs et les acheteurs \u00e0 planifier \u00e0 l’avance. \u00ab L’estimation des r\u00e9coltes n’est jamais un exercice \u00e0 chiffre unique \u2014 les conditions peuvent varier de mani\u00e8re spectaculaire selon la r\u00e9gion, la vari\u00e9t\u00e9 et la gestion des vergers \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Mel Machado, directeur agricole de Blue Diamond.<\/p>\n

La pr\u00e9vision suit \u00e9galement la premi\u00e8re estimation de superficie 2026 de Land IQ, qui avait fix\u00e9 \u00e0 1 385 870 acres les superficies d\u2019amandiers en production, en baisse de 15 227 acres par rapport \u00e0 l’ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, avec 47 588 acres retir\u00e9es. Cette diminution marque la premi\u00e8re baisse des superficies d\u2019amandiers en production depuis 30 ans.<\/p>\n

Blue Diamond a averti que la chaleur, la pression des ravageurs, la disponibilit\u00e9 en eau et les d\u00e9cisions d’investissement dans les vergers pourraient encore influencer les r\u00e9coltes finales. Le Almond Board a \u00e9galement soulign\u00e9 que la Californie demeure le premier fournisseur mondial d\u2019amandes malgr\u00e9 des co\u00fbts plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, des pressions r\u00e9glementaires et des d\u00e9fis de la cha\u00eene d’approvisionnement.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":118,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"class_list":["post-117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-50"],"yoast_head":"\nPr\u00e9vision de la r\u00e9colte d'amandes en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse - ARG-AGRO Semilleria Venta de Semillas e Insumos para el Agro<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/arg-agro.com.ar\/actualidad\/prevision-de-la-recolte-damandes-en-legere-baisse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pr\u00e9vision de la r\u00e9colte d'amandes en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse - 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